Monsoon Arrives Six Days Early in the Country

The southwest monsoon advanced into the country, covering parts of Rajasthan and Gujarat on Saturday, six days before it is normally due on July 8, said the India Meteorological Department. 

However, the country has recorded a rainfall deficit of five percent as of Saturday.

Barring Rajasthan, all states falling in the core monsoon zone had received very deficit rains until now according to the IMD. The monsoon core zone consists of the states of Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, and Odisha. These regions are rain-fed agricultural regions.

Gujarat has received 37 percent deficient rains compared to the long period average till July 2, followed by Odisha with 34 percent deficiency, then Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh with 25 percent deficiency, and finally, Madhya Pradesh with 15 percent deficiency in rainfall. Rajasthan has received 33 percent excess rain compared to the long period average (LPA).

As per the forecast for July that was issued by the IMD, the rainfall average for the entire country probably going to be normal at anywhere between 94 to 106 percent of the LPA for the month. The LPA for July, based on the rainfall data from 1971-2020, is about 280.4 mm.

The weather office has forecast enhanced rainfall activity over Odisha, Gujarat, Konkan, and Goa during the next five days, over central India on July 4 and 5, and over northwest India on July 5 and 6.

In the south, the situation is similar. Despite the early-onset monsoon over Kerala, the southwest monsoon is in a weak phase, bringing a rainfall deficit of 43 percent by June 11. It entered the active phase, causing rainfall over several parts of the country and lowering the deficit. From June 1 to July 1, the cumulative average monsoon rainfall was 171.5 mm, 5% less than the normal volume of 180.8 mm, said the IMD

The Monsoon Current set early over Kerala as well, by 3 days, arriving on May 29 instead of the normal date of June 1.

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