2026 Bengal Exit Poll: West Bengal elections are over and exit polls are indicating a mixed bag of results. Two exit polls (Peoples Pulse, Janmat Polls) are predicting a clear and definitive edge to the sitting Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress.
On the other hand, four exit polls (P-Marq, Praja Poll, Matrize and Poll Diary) are predicting the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) to form the state government, for the first time in the state of West Bengal. JVC predicted a neck-and-neck contest between TMC and BJP. Has West Bengal voted for the Maa Mati cause or for a change?
What Do West Bengal Exit Polls Suggest?
A close fight was predicted by JVC between the Trinamool Congress (131-152 seats) and the BJP (138-159 seats). About 195 to 205 seats for Trinamool Congress and 80-90 seats for the BJP were preducted by Janmat Polls. In contrast, 193 seats for BJP in Bengal and 100 seats for Trinamool Congress were predicted by Praja Poll.
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BJP win in Bengal with 150-175 seats and a close second for Trinamool with 118-138 seats has been predicted by P-Marq. People Pulse predicts Trinamool sweep while Matrize and Poll Diary predict BJP will breach Trinamool fortress.
2026 Bengal Exit Poll-Record Voter Turnout Could Be The Gamechanger
The state of West Bengal recorded a staggering 92.47 percent voter turnout in the second and final phase of the state assembly elections. The first phase had recorded a whopping 91.66 percent. The second phase of voting is highly crucial for BJP as it includes South Bengal, the strongest fortress of TMC. The ruling party won 123, leaving just 1 for the ISF and 18 for BJP in 2021 elections.
According to political analysts, this could translate into a massive win for the Narendra Modi-led BJP as the anti-incumbency factor may have resulted in a shocking defeat for the ruling TMC.
In another development, the Election Commission of India has remarked that around 700 companies of Central Armed Police Forces (CAPF) will stay deployed across the state even after polling completion.
