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Delhi Exit Polls 2025: As the voting for the Delhi Assembly Elections 2025 wraps up, exit polls from nine agencies have created a buzz across the capital. While eight polls predict a BJP return after 25 years, one suggests that AAP could win a third consecutive term. With such contrasting results, the political landscape in Delhi remains uncertain, and the outcome will only be clear once the votes are counted on February 8, 2025.
Rahul Chaudhary, our correspondent covering the elections on the ground, shares his insights into the evolving political narrative. Let's dive into what the exit polls say and how they reflect the current pulse of Delhi.
DNP Poll of Polls Reveals a Close Contest Between AAP and BJP
The DNP Poll of Polls, based on a compilation of Delhi exit polls 2025 from several agencies, reveals a tight race between AAP and BJP. According to the polls, BJP is predicted to return to power with 35 to 40 seats, while AAP could secure 32 to 37 seats. Congress, however, is expected to barely make a mark, with predictions of just 0 to 1 seat.
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DNP Polls of Polls Data
Here’s a breakdown of the polling agencies and their predicted seat ranges for AAP, BJP, and Congress:
Polling Agency | Range 1 (AAP) | Range 2 (BJP) | Range 3 (Congress) |
---|---|---|---|
Matrize | 32-37 | 35-40 | 0-1 |
People Insight | 25-29 | 40-44 | 0-1 |
People Pulse | 10-19 | 51-60 | 0-0 |
JVC Polls | 22-31 | 39-45 | 0-2 |
P MARQ | 21-31 | 39-49 | 0-1 |
Chanakya Strategies | 25-28 | 39-44 | 2-3 |
Poll Diary | 18-25 | 42-50 | 0-2 |
DB Research | 26-34 | 36-44 | 0-0 |
VPI Side | 46-52 | 18-23 | 0-1 |
Delhi Exit Polls and Predictions
According to the Matrix exit poll, AAP is projected to win between 32 and 37 seats, which is just over the majority mark of 36 seats in the 70-seat Delhi Assembly. The BJP, however, is predicted to win 35 to 40 seats, with a possibility of surpassing AAP. Congress, as expected, remains largely irrelevant with a prediction of 0 to 1 seat.
The tight margins indicated by the Delhi Exit Polls 2025 suggest that the final outcome will depend on results from a few key constituencies, where the fight could be settled by only a handful of votes.
Apart from the Matrix poll, other agencies have also released their predictions. The People Insight exit poll forecasts a clear win for BJP, with a range of 40 to 44 seats, while AAP is expected to win only 25 to 29 seats. Poll Pulse offers a similar picture, predicting a significant BJP lead with 51 to 60 seats, while AAP trails behind with just 10 to 19 seats.
Poll agencies like JVC, P MARQ, and Chanakya Strategies predict a more balanced outcome, with BJP leading but AAP staying close behind. Some polls even suggest that Congress may hold on to a couple of seats, though its influence appears minimal.
BJP’s Surge: PM Modi and Yogi Adityanath’s Influence
Rahul Chaudhary notes that from day one, the contest appeared very close. Initially, AAP seemed to have the edge, but BJP's manifesto and rallies led by PM Modi and Yogi Adityanath changed public sentiment. However, some planned rallies were cancelled due to the Mahakumbh incident, affecting BJP's campaign momentum.
Unlike the Lok Sabha elections, where BJP has dominated since 2014, Delhi Assembly elections tend to be more focused on local issues. The lack of a clear wave for any party has made this election more unpredictable, with no dominant factor swaying the voters decisively.
What’s at Stake for Delhi Voters?
As the capital prepares for the results on February 8, all eyes are on Delhi’s voters. The Delhi Exit Polls 2025 have provided a glimpse into the political mood of the city, but nothing is certain until the final tally. Will BJP's renewed push win them the confidence of Delhi’s electorate, or will AAP’s local governance record hold up in the face of a stiff challenge?
With the Delhi Assembly election results being so close, the DNP Poll of Polls serves as an essential guide to understanding the current political scenario. It's clear that the race is tighter than ever, and the next few days will be crucial in determining Delhi's future political landscape.