There was a shocking turn in the Israel-Iran War when Iran fired more missiles at Israeli towns just hours after former U.S. President Donald Trump called for a unilateral ceasefire. Trump said that Iran agreed to stop attacking by 4 a.m. Tehran time, and Israel agreed to do the same 12 hours later. He wrote on social media, "The 12-Day War is officially over."
But the truce seemed to fall apart almost right away. At least three people were killed and many more were hurt when Iranian rockets hit Jerusalem and Be'er Sheva. Abbas Araqchi, Iran's Foreign Minister, denied Trump's claims and made it clear that Iran had not agreed to a ceasefire and would not do so until Israeli actions were confirmed to have stopped.
Trump's unilateral move: A diplomatic short-cut or a risky bet?
Trump's decision to act alone goes against normal international procedures. By leaving out both UN and European mediators, he gave Iran a chance to openly reject the ceasefire, which would have made the already weak peace even weaker. Even though his news was big, it didn't have any multilateral support or ways to be sure of it.
Is Netanyahu Going Backwards Two Steps?
Netanyahu, the prime minister of Israel, sees the sudden rise in Iranian attacks as a big political and strategic setback. The truth on the ground is not what his office said about the U.S. efforts or Trump's ceasefire, which was seen as a sign of Israeli power.
Netanyahu relied on targeted military strikes, such as bombings of Iran's Evin Prison and Revolutionary Guard sites, to get Iran to give up. However, Iran's most recent strikes call his story of strength and deterrence into question. Some people say that Netanyahu's aggressive behavior may be making things worse instead of better, and Trump's news of a ceasefire, which was supposed to be a diplomatic win, may now look premature or even wrong.
What Will Happen Next in the War Between Israel and Iran?
Tensions are still very high because rockets are still being fired and there is no clear diplomatic way to move things along. Quick responses have come from around the world. UN envoys have called for a quick end to the crisis, and European diplomats want to return to multilateral negotiations.
Netanyahu does not know what will happen next. As pressure from both inside and outside the country grows, his "iron fist" strategy might need to be changed. As the Israel-Iran War goes on, the question that everyone still wants to know is whether this will be seen as a strategic win or a political mistake.
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