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Donald Trump Meets Xi Jinping: With US-China Trade Deal on Track, Can India Expect Good News Soon?

Xi and Trump agree their nations “don’t see eye to eye” but affirm trade talks are back on track — a signal that could reshape India’s trade outlook.

Donald Trump Meets Xi Jinping: In a meeting that attracted widespread global attention, President Donald Trump of the United States and President Xi Jinping of China agreed to speak on the sidelines of the APEC 2025 Summit, taking place in Busan, South Korea. The meeting itself represents a new chapter in a multi-year and multi-front trade war between the two largest economies in the world. 

Xi recognized the challenges, stating, “We don’t always see eye to eye, but differences should not equal confrontation.” He continued by emphasising that cooperation would prevail over competition. Trump responded positively, commenting that Xi was a “tough negotiator, but fair,” and that the deal was “very close” to being signed.

What is on the agenda?

Sources indicate that the new framework will include China ceasing its rare-earth industry licensing rules temporarily and resuming U.S. soybean purchases at a meaningful scale. The United States, in exchange, may eliminate some tech restrictions made earlier this year to exports, as well as delay the upcoming tariffs that were set to take place on November 1, 2025.

If this is true, this would represent a substantial step toward normalizing relations, as it would be the most significant step toward normalising relations since the United States and China began the trade war in 2018. Markets are reacting across Asia, particularly in response to the early optimism of the currencies as well as the upward price move in gold.

The Importance to the World

The U.S.-China trade war has been a headwind to global growth for years. A thaw between Washington and Beijing could restore confidence in global cross-border supply chains and ease inflationary pressures in many countries. Economists think it could also bring calm to volatile commodity prices and lower shipping costs — both are especially important to export-led economies.

The Strategic Perspective for India

There are both opportunities and risks for India in the potential trade détente. A more stable global trading environment could open up more predictable trade routes for exports and encourage more stable investment in emerging markets. But on the flip side, if U.S.-China trade flows become more intense once again, India will face increased competition in sectors such as electronics, steel and textiles. 

Analysts say that India can use this moment to bolster its manufacturing reforms and increase supply-chain readiness, if there is an improvement in the global trading environment.

Nevertheless, while it is hard to argue with the optimism of the meeting in Busan, experts are still cautiously optimistic. Significant potential differences in intellectual property, data security, and tech regulation remain. For now, both leaders appear to be serious about presenting a cooperative front rather than a competitive framework.

If this handshake leads to meaningful policy implementation, it could reset not only U.S.-China trade but also India’s positioning as it finds its footing in a fast-changing global economy.

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